By Daniel
Dubrovsky
07 April 2015 05:03 GMT
Talking Points:
·
RBA leaves rates unchanged at 2.25%
·
RBA says further easing may be appropriate
over period ahead
The Australian Dollar climbed as much as 1
percent versus the US Dollar after the Reserve Bank left
rates unchanged in April. The markets were pricing in a 70 percent chance that
the bank would cut rates. While rates were left unchanged, they are still at
record lows.
The bank judged that it was appropriate to hold rates for the time
being. The RBA sees inflation consistent with the target over the next 1-2
years with growth below trend pace and spare capacity for some time yet.
Policymakers added that a lower Australian Dollar is likely needed to achieve
balanced growth. The RBA mentioned that further easing may be appropriate over
the period ahead. The central bank’s tone is little changed from the March
meeting, with further changes in monetary policy appearing to be data-dependent.
Currency Strategist Ilya Spivak says a daily close above the
14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7733 exposes the 0.7857-7912 area (Feb 26
high). A reversal below the March 11 low at 0.7559 opens the door for a test of
the 38.2% Fib expansion at 0.7421.
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